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  • ¿Cuál será la estrategia de Trump ante el programa nuclear de Irán?

    ¿Cuál será la estrategia de Trump ante el programa nuclear de Irán?
    La “diplomacia coercitiva” podría poner a Teherán ante dos opciones: un desmantelamiento negociado de su capacidad nuclear, o uno forzoso.
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    Iran is facing a challenging outlook as 2025 approaches, with external and internal pressures potentially shaping the nation's future. The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to renew diplomatic tensions, predominantly due to previous “maximum pressure” strategies targeting Iran's economic and political landscape. This anticipated shift in US administration reignites concerns within Iran's clerical leadership about increased sanctions and international isolation, which could significantly impact Iran's economic stability and geopolitical influence.

    On the domestic front, the Iranian government is also contending with growing internal strife. The ongoing resistance of women against theocratic restrictions has been gaining momentum, posing a significant challenge to the regime’s authority. This surge in activism suggests a potential shift in societal dynamics, as women and other groups increasingly demand more freedom and rights within the country. The government's handling of these demands may have far-reaching implications for its future stability and the prospect of reform.

    In the regional context, Iran's involvement in neighboring Syria remains a subject of intense scrutiny and speculation. Tensions have risen following a recent statement from Syria's new foreign minister, who expressed concerns over Iran's role in his country. This highlights a potential rift and uncertainty about Iran's influence and objectives in Syria, which could affect Iran's broader strategic interests in the region.

    Overall, Iran faces significant uncertainty both internationally and domestically as 2025 approaches. The potential return of heightened international tensions coupled with domestic resistance movements could redefine Iran’s socio-political landscape. How the Iranian government navigates these challenges will likely determine the nation’s path forward in the coming years, impacting its relationship with global powers and its internal cohesion.

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